The Mini Beer Minute
PJ Lost By 0.30 To A Guy Taking A Knee
PJ paid 42 dollars for De'Von Achane and got 10.60. He started Harold Fannin over Isaiah Likely and gave away 23 points. He left 30.90 on the bench in total. And after all that he was still winning, right up until Jaxson Dart, his one dollar quarterback who had just played the game of his life, knelt down to run out the clock and lost him the week. Scott, who beat him, renamed his team QB Kneel Merchant that night.
Everyone plays twice now, once against an opponent and once against the league median of 134.65. Teal cleared it, red did not.
| # | Team | Rec | PF | Max | Eff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad | 2-0 | 190.44 | 220.54 | 86.4% | |
| 2 | Tanner | 2-0 | 156.46 | 157.26 | 99.5% | |
| 3 | John T | 1-1 | 156.36 | 161.16 | 97.0% | |
| 4 | Ian | 2-0 | 142.82 | 153.52 | 93.0% | |
| 5 | Hayden | 2-0 | 141.26 | 159.90 | 88.3% | |
| 6 | Ty | 2-0 | 135.40 | 137.00 | 98.8% | |
| 7 | Pelan | 1-1 | 133.90 | 134.94 | 99.2% | |
| 8 | PJ | 0-2 | 133.60 | 164.50 | 81.2% | |
| 9 | Ethan | 0-2 | 132.76 | 140.96 | 94.2% | |
| 10 | Craig | 0-2 | 130.96 | 151.36 | 86.5% | |
| 11 | Will | 0-2 | 94.12 | 104.92 | 89.7% | |
| 12 | Sko | 0-2 | 87.26 | 97.36 | 89.6% |
Max is the best lineup that roster could have started. Eff is what they actually got out of it.
Any starter who finishes at zero or below is an Ice. Defenses and kickers count.
| Owner | QB | RB | WR | TE | K | DEF | Tot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan | · | · | · | 1 | · | · | 1 |
| Sko | · | · | · | 1 | · | · | 1 |
| Will | · | · | · | · | · | 1 | 1 |
| Brad | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Craig | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Hayden | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Ian | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| John T | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| PJ | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Pelan | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Tanner | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| Ty | · | · | · | · | · | · | 0 |
| League | · | · | · | 2 | · | 1 | 3 |
Two guys got out of it by a hair, both at exactly 1.00.
| Owner | Starter | Points | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ian | Harrison Mevis, K | 1.00 | 2-0 |
| PJ | Los Angeles Chargers, DEF | 1.00 | 0-2 |
| Ian | Jaylen Waddle, WR | 1.20 | 2-0 |
Ian started two of the three worst non-zero scores in the league and went 2-0 anyway. PJ's defense did nothing on a night when nothing was all it took.
Every team against every other team's score. Teal is a win, red is a loss. FIELD is the record you would have had playing all eleven. ACTUAL is what the schedule gave you.
| Bra | Tan | JT | Ian | Hay | Ty | Pel | PJ | Eth | Cra | Wil | Sko | FIELD | ACTUAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad | 11-0 | 2-0 | ||||||||||||
| Tanner | 10-1 | 2-0 | ||||||||||||
| John T | 9-2 | 1-1 | ||||||||||||
| Ian | 8-3 | 2-0 | ||||||||||||
| Hayden | 7-4 | 2-0 | ||||||||||||
| Ty | 6-5 | 2-0 | ||||||||||||
| Pelan | 5-6 | 1-1 | ||||||||||||
| PJ | 4-7 | 0-2 | ||||||||||||
| Ethan | 3-8 | 0-2 | ||||||||||||
| Craig | 2-9 | 0-2 | ||||||||||||
| Will | 1-10 | 0-2 | ||||||||||||
| Sko | 0-11 | 0-2 |
John T went 9-2 against the field and finished 1-1. Ty went 6-5 and finished 2-0. The gap between those two columns is the whole argument for median scoring.
Every manager left points on the bench. Only three of them paid for it.
Cost him the game by 0.30 and the median by 0.75. Worst possible version of a bad call.
Lost by 2.64 with 8.20 on the bench. Would have won both.
Lost by 10.30 with 20.40 sitting there.
Threw away 30.10, the second most in the league, and won by 34 anyway.
Left 18.64 on the bench and still beat Craig.
Waddle scored 1.20. Ian won by 55.
Rest of season simulated 60,000 times with median scoring and a six team playoff. Struck line is the August open.
| # | Owner | Odds | Open | Title | Playoff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad | +350 | ▲ | +2500 | 22.0% | 86% | |
| 2 | Tanner | +650 | ▬ | +700 | 13.3% | 71% | |
| 3 | John T | +850 | ▲ | +1200 | 10.6% | 62% | |
| 4 | Ian | +850 | ▬ | +800 | 10.3% | 65% | |
| 5 | Hayden | +900 | ▼ | +350 | 10.2% | 64% | |
| 6 | Ty | +950 | ▲ | +6000 | 9.3% | 60% | |
| 7 | Pelan | +1300 | ▲ | +1600 | 6.9% | 49% | |
| 8 | PJ | +1900 | ▼ | +900 | 4.9% | 37% | |
| 9 | Ethan | +2000 | ▼ | +1200 | 4.8% | 37% | |
| 10 | Craig | +2100 | ▼ | +320 | 4.5% | 36% | |
| 11 | Will | +6000 | ▼ | +1400 | 1.6% | 18% | |
| 12 | Sko | +7300 | ▼ | +750 | 1.4% | 16% |
Based on one week of scoring, so every team is pulled hard toward the league average. Brad is the favorite and still loses this 78 times out of 100.
Last place carries the bag. Same 60,000 seasons, finishing twelfth.
| 1 | Sko | +275 | 26.9% | |
| 2 | Will | +325 | 24.0% | |
| 3 | Craig | +900 | 10.2% | |
| 4 | Ethan | +950 | 9.7% | |
| 5 | PJ | +950 | 9.5% | |
| 6 | Pelan | +1600 | 5.9% | |
| 7 | Ty | +3000 | 3.3% | |
| 8 | John T | +3100 | 3.1% | |
| 9 | Hayden | +3600 | 2.7% | |
| 10 | Ian | +3700 | 2.6% | |
| 11 | Tanner | +5800 | 1.7% | |
| 12 | Brad | +18400 | 0.5% |
Notes. Scores, records, bench totals and efficiency all come straight from Sleeper and are exact. The 134.65 median is calculated from those twelve scores. Title and bib odds come from 60,000 simulated seasons using Week 1 scoring shrunk toward the league average, with median scoring and a six team playoff. Everything else editorial is ours. Ice rule applied as written: any starter at zero or below, defenses and kickers included.